CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-06-08T02:48:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-06-08T02:48ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/39316/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible to the northeast in SOHO LASCO C2/C3, STEREO A COR2, and GOES CCOR-1 imagery. The source is likely related to a large dimming region centered near N10E40 which begins to appear around 2025-06-08T01:00Z as seen in SDO AIA 171 and 193 imagery. Possible arrival signature starting around 2025-06-12T19:30Z: a likely signature of a flux rope, characterized by the lowering of ion density and temperature, and by the smooth velocity decrease, as well as by smooth rotation of magnetic field components. It is following the coronal hole high speed stream which started around 2025-06-11T11:25Z
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2025-06-12T19:30Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-06-12T16:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 50.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: 74.77 hour(s)
Difference: 3.50 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-06-09T16:44Z
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